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Wed, Oct 9, 2019 7:17 PM

Poll Suggestion: Oscars 2020 - Early Best Picture Predictions

We're in October and the awards season has begun.

While many movies have made their entrance in the Oscar race during the earlier festivals, some are already garnering positive buzz from critics, awards pundits and viewers and are considered right now as Best Picture contenders with two frontrunners.

Will Tarantino gets his first Best Picture award for his nostalgic love letter to Hollywood? Will Scorsese gets his second one for a nostalgia-driven gangster movie reuniting the last Mohicans of the genre? Will a dark horse spoil the party?

Which of the following Best Picture contenders would you bet your money on?

https://www.imdb.com/list/ls095972277/

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a year ago

Great idea ElMo! Let me tell you my thoughts about some of the categories. I think that the Irishman will take the most oscars including Best Picture, Director, and I hope for my man Pacino to win Supporting Actor. I also really hope Jordan Peele to win his second Oscar for Screenplay (both Get Out and Us will become future classics). Tarantino will get a nomination for Screenplay but he won't win. Christian Bale will probably be nominated for Leading Actor (and has good chances to win) and I'd really like Brad Pitt to be nominated either for Once upon a time in Hollyhood or Ad Astra (though it's very difficult to win). I haven't seen the movie Hustlers yet but something tells me that it will get a nomination for Adapted Screenplay. Scarlett Johansson will finally get her first nomination and propably Adam Driver. As for Joaquin Phoenix in Joker I haven't decided yet.

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Great to see someone else rooting for Pacino, I'd be contented if he gets a nomination, not dreaming of an win but that would only be justice if he could equal the record of De Niro, Hoffman and Nicholson (who got 3 I know)

"The Departed" didn't deserve its win in my opinion and I wish it didn't because 2006 was a terrific year for other movies and "The Irishman" would have been a fine recipient... that said, I didn't see the film... and I'm counting the days :)

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a year ago

bump

4.1K Messages

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125K Points

a year ago

Bump

2.2K Messages

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64.9K Points

a year ago


I don't think Downton Abbey has any chance, let alone PBS giving it any sizable marketing budget to get it enough visibility to gain momentum for a BP campaign.

FYC:
The Farewell (I) (2019)
and maybe Booksmart (2019) - this year's Lady Bird.

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Isn't "Booksmart" this decade's "Superbad"? (And I mean that in a good way)

2.2K Messages

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64.9K Points

It's been put that way... and it does fit to a degree. So? Yes.

I called it this year's Lady Bird in terms of female filmmakers as a sizable role in the production.

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Ah ok...

I thought "Lady Bird" was a fantastic film, a simple film, obviously Gerwig's baby-project and the right coming-of-age story for the whole Millennial generation, and while it provided strong female characterization, I didn't like the way it was sucked in all these gender-related conversations, because it gave the false impression that Gerwig's film was recognized because it was time to recognize female directors and because of the MeToo movement... while it was just a damn good film and I'm sure it would have been a Best Picture nominee when there were only 5 nominees.

I wasn't impressed by Gerwig's direction but the screenplay was one of the finest of recent years and should have won the Oscar. I hope "Little Women" will play in the same league (looks like a more classic Oscar-baity film) but nothing can beat a personal film, and I might find "Booksmart" a better film than "Little Women", but it'll take a lot to make me enjoy it more than "Lady Bird". 

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64.9K Points

a year ago

Thought about creating a JFF 2020 Oscar thread. Might as well as use this one to help drive what movies should be Best Picture worthy.

Predicting the following Oscar categories based on only movies I've seen so far. I'll update it when new movies come in (and hopefully others will chime in accordingly). These are pretty much determined by my bias and not necessarily on the current buzz (as it omits Jennifer Lopez and Hustlers).

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Antonio Banderas, Pain & Glory
Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
Kang-ho Song, Parasite
Roman Griffin Davis, Jojo Rabbit

BEST ACTRESS
Lupita Nyong'o, US
Florence Pugh. Midsommar
Awkwafina, The Farewell

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Robert Pattinson, The Lighthouse
Asier Etxeandia, Pain & Glory
Zack Gottsagen, The Peanut Butter Falcon
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penélope Cruz, Pain & Glory (Maybe or lead?)
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

BEST DIRECTOR
Ari Aster, Midsommar
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Pedro Almodóvar, Pain & Glory
Robert Eggers, The Lighthouse
Bong Joon Ho, Parasite
 
BEST SCREENWRITING (LUMPING THE TWO CATS TOGETHER FOR SHEER LAZINESS)
Ari Aster, Midsommar
Joe Talbot, The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Pedro Almodóvar, Pain & Glory
The Peanut Butter Falcon
Bong Joon Ho, Parasite
Taika Waititi, JoJo Rabbit


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We'll see how this list will look after you see Dolemite

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64.9K Points

10 months ago

If you want to see the odds for Best Picture mined by Gold Derby.
https://www.goldderby.com/odds/combined-odds/oscars-nominations-2020/